逐冰之旅（2012）

但是作为一名世界公民
to see this stuff, but as a citizen of the world,
这很可怕
you go, this is horrible.
NASA 美国国家航♥空♥航♥天♥局
NASA派詹姆斯?巴洛戈作为代表
And consider who NASA is sending
参加哥本哈根气候峰会
as a delegate to the climate change summit in Copenhagen.
作为一个来自EIS的摄影师
Jim Balog, a photographer with the group Extreme Ice Survey.
在2006年之前
Prior to ’06…
这片冰川已经后退了十到十一英里
This glacier had retreated 10, 11 miles.
现在 仅仅又过了几年
And, now we’ve added just in the past few years,
又后退了2.5英里
another two and a half miles.
你经常能听到
One of the things you often hear
关于冰川变化的争论
in the debate about glacier change is
全球有一些冰川
that there are glaciers around the world
确实是变大了
which are also getting bigger
这又是怎么回事
and advancing, so, how can that be?
怎样用它回应全球变暖
How can that be a response to a global warming signal?
最近我们在加拿大育空领地做了一项研究
What we’ve done recently on the Yukon territory in Canada,
我们观察冰川从1958年到2008年来的变化
where we looked at the change in glacier area from 1958 to 2008.
我们看到的是 1958年那儿的1400座冰山
And what we found was, of the 1,400 glaciers that were there
只有四座变大了
in 1958, four got bigger.
超过三百座完全消失了
Over 300 disappeared completely, and almost all
剩下的大多数都减小了
of the rest got smaller.
气候确实也自然地在变化着
Yes, there is a component of natural variability
但这不足以用来解释
in the climate change we observe, but, it’s not enough
如此强烈的表现
to explain the full signal.
所以 这只可能是由排放温室气体造成的
So there has to be a greenhouse gas element to it.
在伊卢利萨特冰川断裂面
Up to the Ilulissat Glacier calving face.
这架小直升机可作为参照物
A little helicopter is shown for scale.
画面左侧是大西洋
The Atlantic Ocean is on the left side of the frame,
被厚厚的冰川覆盖着
covered with icebergs so thick,
你可以步行穿过海洋
that you could walk across the ocean…
我正在和吉姆进行检查中的一次例行通话
I’m on the phone with Jim,
吉姆 什么也没发生
on one of our regular check-ins, Jim, just, nothing’s happening.
嘿 吉姆
Hey Jim!
一切正常
Uh… it’s going well.
我们遇到了几阵风
We had some serious bouts of wind.
除此之外 那儿一切正常
But other than that, things are fairly well set up here.
拍到了几张连续的画面
We’ve got some continuous time lapse going.
亚当 我想它开始了
It’s starting Adam, I think.
亚当 开始了
Adam it’s starting.
哦 等等 吉姆 吉姆
Oh wait, Jim, Jim…
大♥片♥冰块开始断裂
The big piece is starting to calve.
我一会儿再打给你
Let me call you back.
一会儿再打给他
Call him back.
好的 再见
Okay. Bye.
还在进行中吗
Is it still going?
是的
Yeah.
就在那块V形区
In that V-section right there.
天哪 看那一大块在翻滚的
Holy shit, look at that big berg rolling.
四台机器都在录 对吗
All four are running, right?
是的 看那儿
Yeah… Look at that!
你有没有看见
Do you see how…
看那一整片
look at the whole thing!
断裂面高达三百英尺 有几处有四百英尺
The calving face was 300 sometimes 400 feet tall.
冰块被抛出六百英尺
Pieces of ice were shooting
抛向大海 然后落下
out of the ocean 600 feet and then falling.
以生活中的场景为参考
The only way you can try to put it into scale
唯一恰当的形容是 想象一下曼哈顿
with human reference is if you imagine Manhattan.
突然之间 所有楼房♥都开始隆隆作响
All the sudden, all those buildings just start to rumble
开始颤抖 层层脱落
and quake and peel off and just fall over,
坠落 翻滚
fall over and roll around.
整个巨大的城市
This whole massive city, just breaking apart
突然在你眼前土崩瓦解
in front of your eyes.
我们目击了一切
We’re just observers.
我们观察的山两侧的这两个点
These two little dots on the side of the mountain
记录下了被拍摄到的
and we watched and recorded the largest,
有史以来最大的断裂
witnessed calving event ever caught on tape.
断裂持续时间 75分钟
我们刚才看到的这次断裂
So how big was this calving event
规模到底有多大
that we just looked at?
我们再解释一下
We’ll resort to some illustrations again
给一个对比
to give you a sense of scale.
就像是曼哈顿岛的南端整个断下来
It’s as if the entire lower tip of Manhattan broke off,
除此之外 冰川的厚度相当于
except that, the thickness… the height of it… is equivalent
岛上高楼的2.5倍到3倍
to buildings that are two and a half or three times higher than they are.
太神奇 太可怕 太令人震惊了
That’s a magical, miraculous, horrible, scary thing.
我不知道是否有人
I don’t know that anybody’s really seen the miracle
见过如此神奇而可怕的现象
and horror of that.
从1900年到2000年的100年时间里
It took a hundred years for it
它才后退了八英里
to retreat eight miles from 1900 to 2000.
而从2000年到2010年 它后退了九英里
From 2000 to 2010, it retreated nine miles.
也就是说 在十年内
So in 10 years, it retreated more
它后退的距离比之前的一百年还要多
than it had in the previous 100.
这是真的
It’s real.
冰川正发生巨变 能被看到
The changes are happening; they’re very visible,
能被录下来 测量出来
they’re photographable, they’re measurable.
这一点 在科学上毫无争议
There’s no significant scientific dispute about that.
我们这个时代最大的讽刺和悲剧就是
And the great irony and tragedy of our time is that a lot
大多数公众认为
of the general public thinks
这事仍在学术论证中
that science is still arguing about that.
科学界已经不再争论这件事了
Science is not arguing about that.
关于气候变化
One of the really troubling things
一件很头疼的事情是
about climate change is that almost all
几乎所有著名的气候学家
of the world’s prestigious climatologist are much more
比公众更害怕
frightened about all this than the public is.
人们很难理解
People have a hard time understanding
我们所说的气候变化
when we talk about climate change.
对我来说 他的作品空前强大
What for me is so powerful and actually unprecedented
他让人看到这个变化
in the work that he is doing, is visualizing the change
看到冰川的过去及未来的走向
that allows us to actually see what was and what is become.
我去年春天就看过他的作品
I actually saw his work last spring
他改变了我的生活
and that kind of changed my life in the sense that I had
我辞掉了在壳牌石油公♥司♥的工作
to quit what I was doing, which was working for Shell,
用一种更有意义的方式参与这场辩论
and get involved in this debate in a much more profound way.
EIS必将留名青史
The Extreme Ice Survey will go
因为它记录了
down in history as this is the evidence
正在发生的一切
that we knew what was going on.
你无法否认
You can’t deny it!
我们对经济
We don’t have a problem with economics,
科技和公共政策没有意见
technology and public policy.
我们只是不满公共认知
We have a problem with perception.
到目前 还没有足够多的人认识到这一点
Because not enough people really get it yet.
我认为现在时机已到
I believe we really have an opportunity right now.
我们已经临近危机边缘
We are nearly on the edge of a crisis,
但我们仍然有机会直面挑战
but we still have an opportunity to face the greatest challenge
我们这辈人 这个世纪最大的挑战
of our generation, and in fact, of our century.
谢谢
Thank you.
25或30年后 若我女儿西蒙和艾米丽看着我
When my daughters, Simone and Emily, look at me 25 or 30 years
问我 你在全球变暖时
from now and say, what were you doing when, when…
都做了什么
global warming was happening
你们也知道接下来会发生什么
and you guys knew what was coming down the road.
我希望我能告诉她们 孩子们
I want to be able to say, guys,
我那时在做我力所能及的事
I was doing everything I knew how to do.